Tuesday, October 17, 2023

S&P500 price prediction for 10/18/2023

 Unfortunately, I was slightly wrong on prediction, the S&P500 is down 0.01% today.

Seems like Bank of America and Johnson&Johnson beats their earnings. But overall S&P500 is down.

Let's focus on tomorrow, reasoning for the UP and DOWN


+ve (UP) reasoning

  • Today seems like in second half market want to recover.
  • Historically 4th quarter expects a Santa Claus rally. 
-ve(DOWN) reasoning:
  • WTI oil price up by 2.02%
  • S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES down 0.31%
  • DOW JONES E-MINI FUTURES down by 0.22%
  • Geopolitical situation
Unkown: Earning from Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Netflix etc. this can be good. These specific stocks can go UP or DOWN based on the earning! But not sure!!!

This time I decided to stick with fundamentals, since oil price is up and futures are down, I predict that tomorrow (10/18/2023) the market(S&P500) will be down.



THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE





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