Today's prediction was correct and S&P500 was down today by 1.43%.
Let's focus on tomorrow,
+ve(up) reasoning:
- WTI oil price is down by 0.20% Crude Oil Price Today | WTI OIL PRICE CHART | OIL PRICE PER BARREL | Markets Insider (businessinsider.com)
- Santa Claus rally is there or not !
- Next year US election and Olympics
-ve(Down) reasoning:
- S&P500 futures are down by 0.56% ES00 | E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract Overview | MarketWatch
- DOW futures down by 0.19% YM00 | E-Mini Dow Continuous Contract Overview | MarketWatch
- Geo-political situation
- Interest rates higher for longer (Marco view)
Unknown:
- GDP, Initial Jobless claims reports are coming tomorrow.
- Amazon,Mastercard,intel,comcast etc. companies reporting earning.
With above reasoning, am planning to stick with futures direction and predicting that tomorrow (10/26/2023) market (S&P 500) will be down.
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