I was wrong in the prediction for today 10/23/2023. Even the market was UP in the first half, the second half was not good and S&P500 closed negative.
Take aways: Seems like Oil price was again up today, and seems like macro, geopolitical situation has more weightage.
Let's focus on tomorrow,
+ve (UP) reasoning:
- Market might have oversold.
- S&P500 Futures are UP 0.09% right now . ES00 | E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract Overview | MarketWatch
- DOW futures are UP 0.02% YM00 | E-Mini Dow Continuous Contract Overview | MarketWatch
-ve(DOWN) reasoning:
- WTI Crude oil price is UP Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
- Geo-political situation
- Interest is going to high for longer (analyst's expectations) -Macro look.
Unknown:
- There are lot of companies earning report is going to come tomorrow - Google, Microsoft, Coca-Cola, CP, VICI etc. Not sure how that is going to be.
- PMI comes tomorrow.
Since oil price are UP and macro look on the environment is still gloomy. I would guess market is going to down tomorrow (10/24/2023).
This is not a financial advice. This is just for my fun and analysis.
No comments:
Post a Comment