Monday, November 27, 2023

Market prediction for 28-nov-2023

Prediction for Today's s&p500 was correct and s&p500 was down.


Let's focus on tomorrow 

+ve(UP) case reasoning:

1. S&P futures are up.
2.DOW futures are up.


-ve (Down) case reasoning:

1. Oil price is going up
2. Geopolitical 
3. Macro view and higher for longer interest rate theme.


Unknown:
  • Consumer confidence will come tomorrow 
  • FED person speaks 
  • Some banks and crowdstrike earning reports tomorrow 
Predicting tomorrow will be up as futures indicates.




Sunday, November 26, 2023

Market prediction for Nov-27 2023

 As oil price is up and s&p futures , dow futures are down, I am predicting tomorrow s&p500 will be down. 


But its start of the week, so things might change, but i am sticking with the future values.

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Market prediction for 24-Nov-2023

 Today's prediction was correct and s&p500 is up 0.41%.


Let's predict tomorrow's market


+ve case:

1.oil price is going down 

2. 4 day pause on the Isreal war.

3.s&p futures are up

4.dow futures are up

-ve case:

1.weekend selling


Chaniging the prediction  Predicting market s&p500  will be + ve on friday.


Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Market prediction for tomorrow 22-Nov-2023

 Today's prediction was wrong and the s&p500 was down by 0.20%


Let's predict tomorrow's S&P500

1. Oil price is down

2.S&P futures are down now

3.Dow futures are up now


Since oil price is down ans Dow futures are up, I am predicting tomorrow will be +ve day for s&p500



Monday, November 20, 2023

Market prediction for Nov 21-2023

 Today's prediction was wrong and s&p500 was up today.

Lets predict tomorrow market

1. S&P futures are up

2. Dow futures are up

3.oil price is up, it might -ve impacts 

4.unknown - fomc meeting


Predicting based on futures direction that the market will be up.




Sunday, November 19, 2023

Market s&p500 prediction for Nov 20th 2023

 Reasoning for tomorrow's market

+ve(UP) reasoning:

  1. Santa Claus rally
  2. Start of a week
-ve (Down)reasoning :
  1. S&P500 futures are down- https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ESW00:CME_EMINIS?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiG_qyCwNGCAxVoAjQIHSeOCxcQ3ecFegQICxAb
  2. Dow futures are down- https://www.google.com/finance/quote/YMW00:CBOT?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjf6NSnwNGCAxVKOTQIHc0HClkQ3ecFegQIDBAb
  3. Oil price is up
  4. Geo political
  5. Marco view on world economy 
Unknown:
  1. US economy leading indicators 

Tomorrow's prediction is that the market will be down as I am leaning on futures direction.



Saturday, November 18, 2023

S&P500 prediction Weekly review - Nov13 to Nov17

 Yesterday's prediction was correct and S&P500 was slightly up 0.13%.


Weekly prediction status:


Date  Predictions Correct
    11/13/2023                     NO
    11/14/2023       Yes
    11/15/2023       Yes
    11/16/2023       NO
    11/17/2023        Yes




Weekly S&P500:
It was a good week for S&P500. The index is up by 2.70%.